Board Thread:Fun and Games/@comment-31549837-20200115185054/@comment-31549837-20200625011933

Ok, before this thread becomes the Sega thread in a few days for the takeover, I’ll share my current predictions for who’s getting into Fighter Pass 2 now that we have Min Min.

Looking back on my January predictions, they weren’t the worst, but not that good. I was definitely expecting FP2 to be more similar to the first FP in terms of third parities having more of an edge. Though I do think some of those picks I don’t still have on my predictions have a decent shot... except for Dante, which you can really tell reading his segment I picked him impulsively.

I’m now expecting a heavier emphasis on first parties with a few third parties thrown in, which would contrast with the first FP in a nice way.

But anyway, we now have a better idea what to expect, so who do I expect?

Fighter #7: Geno
 * Has been a popular request for well over a decade.
 * Mii Costume from SSB4 still absent despite Hero being the perfect time to bring it back.
 * Sakurai said he wanted him in Brawl but didn’t get in for unexplained reasons.
 * Music from SMRPG being taken down by Nintendo back in July 2019, despite not owning the music or the upload pretending to be for Smash.
 * Square’s two biggest franchises are now both in Smash, and the recent Mana Spirits show them potentially opening up to more content.
 * Geno and Mallow Spirits in base game show Square would probably be more ok with handling Mario RPG content compared to other stuff.
 * Min Min not only proves Spirits can be promoted, but you don’t need to be a "mascot" character for a game.
 * (Tinfoil hat theory) All 7 DLC characters thus far have the same colours as the seven stars.
 * (4D-Chess theory) The next fighter is not only Challenger Pack 7, but the 77th unique character in Smash, and Geno is from Super Mario RPG: Legend of the SEVEN Stars.

Oh yeah, it’s all coming together.

Fighter #8: Rex and Pyra

These two alongside Geno I think are the most likely characters for Fighter Pass 2. The simple reason they didn’t get into the base game was because they’re game came out too late to have an effect on it. This was mentioned at the same time it was said ARMS didn’t get into the base game for the same reason, and now ARMS is in the game. So if its now time for ARMS to get a character, why not Xenoblade 2?

One other thing to mention is Rex’s Mii Costume you get for purchasing Fighter Pass 1. I don’t think this will have an effect on his chances going forward. It was probably done as there were no plans for a FP2 at the time, and the team thought this was the best they could do for Rex at the time (probably the same with Spring Man getting an Assist Trophy). But now, it’s probably been long enough since that was decided that it shouldn’t matter anymore. And if Spirits don’t deconfirm, then most Mii Costumes probably don’t deconfirm.

Fighter #9: Bandana Waddle Dee

I’m still doing it... I’m not giving up!

My points from back in January still apply here. Only now with both what appears to be a heavier emphasis on first parties, and Spirits being promoted, his chances have gone up slightly. Probably a 50/50 at this point.

Fighter #10: Rillaboom

I know a Gen 8 Pokémon isn’t going to thrill most people, and despite my love for the franchise I wouldn’t really be too hyped for it, but after Byleth got the ok, a Gen 8 Pokémon seems very likely.

The bigger question is which Gen 8 Pokémon should get in. And while I would like if they broke away from Starters for a bit, Rillaboom seems pretty likely. Not simply because he’s a Grass Starter (Smash doesn’t care about that kind of representation), but he could work well as a heavyweight with a mix of rhythm attacks.

I guess Urshifu is also possible, and while I haven’t looked at him too much, Toxtricity could potentially be fun. But for now, I’m sticking with the Grass monkey.

Fighter #11: Travis Touchdown

Don’t know how many would agree with this, but Travis could potentially be one of the most likely candidates for Smash, and it’s a little surprising he still isn’t in despite how niche his series is.

The main thing everyone knows that makes Travis likely is that his creator Suda51 has been consistently asking for Travis to get in for almost a decade now (we’re talking pre-2013 Smash 4 days). But what makes Travis more likely then say an Indie company wanting their character in Smash? Because Suda51 has actually helped with the development of a Smash game (Brawl specifically).

There’s also the idea that Suda51 and Sakurai are friends, and while I don’t know all the details (and shouldn’t since that’s getting into kinda personal territory), Sakurai actually showed up at one of Suda51’s convention events back in the day (even dressed up beautifully for the occasion). There’s also a simple photo the two took in 2019, and some people are saying they only met now despite them meeting each other at Suda’s convention, but again personal territory.

I would also mention that Hideo Kojima simply asking once was enough to get Snake in Smash, so maybe it’s time Suda’s constant begging can be put to rest.

So... I guess that was my current predictions hopefully explained with enough detail. Here’s an image of the full roster with these characters included.

Honourable mentions this time go to both another Namco character, and another Capcom character. They both have a shot, I’d probably pick Lloyd Irving and Monster Hunter respectively right now, but they just weren’t able to make the cut. And I guess Crash Bandicoot’s also possible, but just didn’t make the cut again for me. And Doomguy might still be possible.

(i spent two hours straight writing this and looking for additional sources help)